Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.010832 0.013135 0.016036 0.020052 0.025623 0.033337 0.045336
2024-10-27 0.008403 0.011134 0.015069 0.021489 0.032476 0.052377 0.097278
2024-11-03 0.007224 0.010155 0.014789 0.023339 0.040739 0.081343 0.222463
2024-11-10 0.006464 0.009513 0.014703 0.025326 0.050682 0.127853 0.610579
2024-11-17 0.005661 0.008586 0.013818 0.025341 0.056363 0.174877 1.661375
2024-11-24 0.005004 0.007765 0.012897 0.024881 0.060593 0.229667 5.953377
2024-12-01 0.004347 0.006832 0.011551 0.022948 0.059052 0.255822 19.510957
2024-12-08 0.003881 0.006178 0.010636 0.021783 0.059460 0.300786 335.398492
2024-12-15 0.003582 0.005791 0.010195 0.021695 0.063984 0.405402 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003381 0.005561 0.010040 0.022334 0.072380 0.628773 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003171 0.005287 0.009738 0.022457 0.078876 0.939894 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002922 0.004906 0.009133 0.021479 0.078959 1.152912 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002712 0.004611 0.008745 0.021293 0.085077 1.913803 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002610 0.004526 0.008848 0.022835 0.105896 7.051275 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002534 0.004482 0.009044 0.024850 0.137332 153.746283 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002464 0.004441 0.009237 0.027023 0.181175 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002325 0.004232 0.008940 0.027039 0.202526 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002186 0.004006 0.008560 0.026535 0.216704 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002013 0.003689 0.007882 0.024424 0.199243 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001880 0.003454 0.007408 0.023154 0.194800 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001793 0.003317 0.007195 0.023058 0.212984 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001734 0.003240 0.007145 0.023754 0.253764 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001666 0.003134 0.006994 0.023888 0.285939 NaN NaN